dfisherman wrote:
I agree with everything you commented. I would even go as far as letting people use long passes if they want
Looking at the 2040 data, these 75 plays produced fewer than .18 expected points per play which roughly equates to < 3 positive yards per play since the formula counts a yard at 0.06 points. Note that every single long passing play is in this list.
Shotgun 2 RB 3 WR Strong Deep Long
Weak I Normal All Go Long
I Formation Normal TE Out Long
Empty 4 Wide Spread Deep Corner Post Long
Singleback Normal FL Go Long
Shotgun Normal Deep Weak In and Out Long
Strong I Normal PA All Go Long
Singleback Big WR Streaks Long
I Formation Normal PA Streaks Long
Shotgun 4 Wide WR Corner Long
I Formation 3WR Slot Corner Long Medium
Singleback Slot Strong All Go Long
I Formation Power Play Action Bomb Long
Singleback Empty 4 TE Deep Out Long
I Formation 3WR HB Toss Strong Outside
Singleback 4 Wide Deep Middle Long
I Formation 3WR WR Post Long
Strong I Big TE Deep Corner Long
Singleback Empty 4 Slot Crosses Medium
Shotgun Normal Hail Mary Long
Shotgun 5 Wide 5 WR Deep Ins Long
Singleback Normal Deep Corners Long
Shotgun 2 RB 3 WR WR Hooks Medium
Weak I Big TE Deep Post Long
Singleback Normal FL Drag Long
Shotgun 5 Wide WR Curls Medium
I Formation 3WR Deep Corner/Post Long
Singleback Empty 4 TE Drag WR Mix Medium
I Formation Twin WR Slot Out Long
Shotgun 5 Wide 5 WR All Go Long
Singleback Big Waggle Post Long
I Formation 3WR SE Post Medium
Singleback Empty 4 WR Post Corner Long
I Formation Normal SE Post Long
I Formation Normal Curl & Post Medium
I Formation Big Streak Heavy Long
Shotgun Normal Post Flags Medium
Strong I Normal FB Trap Weak Inside
Singleback Big HB Curls TE Deep Medium
I Formation Normal TE Flag Medium
Shotgun 2 RB 3 WR FB In Medium
Shotgun 5 Wide 5 WR Corner Post Long
I Formation Normal PA Outside Curls Short
Split Backs 3 Wide WR Post Medium
Shotgun 5 Wide Slot Cross Medium
Shotgun 5 Wide Middle Curls Short
Singleback Normal All Go Long
Singleback Empty 4 Short Posts Short
Shotgun Normal HB Delay Inside
Singleback Slot Strong TE Corner Medium
Singleback Big TE Flat Curl Short
Empty 4 Wide Spread Flats Short
Singleback Big HB Pitch Weak Outside
Shotgun 5 Wide FL Hook Medium
Goal Line Normal PA TE Drag Short
Shotgun 2 RB 3 WR FL Drag Short
Split Backs 3 Wide WR2 Deep Post Long
I Formation Normal HB Toss Weak Outside
Shotgun Normal Double Outs Short
Shotgun 4 Wide In and Out Medium
Shotgun 4 Wide Slot Drag Short
I Formation Twin WR Slot Hitch Medium
Split Backs Normal Curls Short
Singleback Empty 4 Curl Flats Short
Singleback 4 Wide Clear Center Medium
Strong I Normal HB Power Strong Outside
Shotgun 2 RB 3 WR WR Curl Medium
Shotgun 4 Wide All Curls Short
Shotgun Normal Short Attack Medium
Shotgun 2 RB 3 WR RB Curls Short
Shotgun 4 Wide Slot Curl Medium
Goal Line Normal HB Dive Inside
I Formation Normal HB Toss Strong Outside
I Formation Normal FB Middle Short
I Formation Normal FL Hook Medium
Last edited at 8/19/2025 7:43 am