Doing some rudimentary data analysis (winds Seth up when I said that...) and all I can say is 3rd and long needs to be avoided as all costs... absolute coin toss, may as well punt.

Lack of semi-effective long passes really kills that. It's either dink a short pass and hope or run and hope.

That's when you dial up the GL outside run

I don't even specifically game plan it. I just my game plan to some number of short passes and forget it.

Yeah, but you don't have to, you play me twice a season...

You don't, mate, you run up the middle hoping against hope to break a big one when in reality, when with the exception of SPLIT_BACKS_3_WIDE, Off Tackle Strong, 4 ypc and WEAK_I_NORMAL,HB Inside Weak, 7ypc on one carry, you average a whopping 1-1.5 ypc on the ground in that scenario...

I'm saving it for when I need it.